Twenty-Seven Percent of Republicans Would vote 3rd party if Rudy is the Nominee

Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election.

If Rudy Giuliani wins the Republican nomination and a third party campaign is backed by Christian conservative leaders, 27% of Republican voters say they’d vote for the third party option rather than Giuliani. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that a three-way race with Hillary Clinton would end up with the former First Lady getting 46% of the vote, Giuliani with 30% and the third-party option picking up 14%.

I don’t believe that Giuliani would actually lose one out of four Republican voters come November 2008. Many of them will change their minds; some will look at the third party candidates and say “Who are these guys” and stick with the Republicans; others will be unable to vote that way once they’re actually in the voting booth. But even if a third of that total goes through with their threat, then Giuliani will face tough odds in the general election. Losing one of out ten of his base voters is a tough hurdle for any candidate. If the GOP is serious about winning, they can’t take the risk of choosing someone who so alienates a significant percentage of their base.

Hat Tip: The Corner


“I consider the foundation of the Constitution as laid on this ground that ‘all powers not delegated to the United States, by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to the states or to the people.’ To take a single step beyond the boundaries thus specially drawn around the powers of Congress, is to take possession of a boundless field of power, not longer susceptible of any definition.” – Thomas Jefferson

“Realize that the doctor’s fight against socialized medicine is your fight. You can’t socialize the doctors without socializing the patients.” – Ronald Reagan

“The first law of the historian is that he shall never dare utter an untruth… There shall be no suspicion of partiality in his writing, or of malice.” – Cicero

“Government is not a necessary good but an unavoidable evil.” – Lyn Nofziger

“Maturity is achieved when a person postpones immediate pleasures for long-term values.” – Joshua Liebman

“The president and his party would be easier to pity, even to shower with a little compassionate conservatism, if they had not abandoned their promises and principles six years ago to give the Democrats lessons in how to blow through billions of dollars in search of a bridge to nowhere.” – Wesley Pruden

“A bilingual nation can’t and won’t cut it. Language enshrines and perpetuates cultural division, of which surely we have enough right now.” – William Murchison

“Unlike Republicans in most cases, the Democrats actually know they are lying. They just don’t care.” – Jonah Goldberg

“Above all, I believe this country needs change, and continuing the 20-year hold on the White House of the same two families is not my idea of change.” – Ted Sorensen

“Americans may be distracted by the war in Iraq, by the political campaign at home, by a thousand other daily events. It would be easy to miss the disparate signals that a storm is gathering over Iran… Much of the talk in the U.S. has been about what the Bush administration may do. Will the U.S. bomb Iran and could that really destroy its nuclear program? What kind of retaliation could America and its allies expect? But American leaders may not determine the ultimate shape of events. The more critical question is: What will Israel do if Iran can’t be stopped diplomatically? The Syrian strike isn’t an answer, but it could be a clue.’ 2007 is the year you determine whether diplomatic efforts will stop Iran,’ one Israeli source told Newsweek. ‘If by the end of the year that’s not working, 2008 becomes the year you take action.’ None of this suggests that an attack against Iran is- or should be- imminent. But it is impossible to imagine Israel will turn a blind eye while Tehran builds nukes, one of which could obliterate much of the Jewish state. If diplomacy fails and Israel attacks pre-emptively, Iran is likely to retaliate, either directly or through its terrorist proxies in Hamas and Hezbollah. Tehran can and probably would make more trouble for U.S. forces in Iraq. If that happens, or if an Israeli attack draws retaliation from others in the region, the U.S. could easily get drawn into a wider war not of its own making…. Would those who advocate military action against Iran be able to get international backing for it? Or would nations that feel threatened even bother to try? The diplomats dealing with Iran seem to think time is on their side. That may turn out to be a grave mistake.” – Chicago Tribune

“I’ll come right out and admit that I understand Islamic terrorists far better than I do American liberals.” – Burt Prelutsky

“Keith Olbermann, MSNBC’s answer to a question no one asked, declared this week that I’m the ‘worst person in the world.’ This is not as bad as it might seem. It’s sort of like being called uncool by the asthmatic assistant recording secretary of the high school chess team.” – Jonah Goldberg

Jay Leno: It’s starting to get nasty out on the campaign trail. This week a spokesman for John Edwards is accusing Barack Obama of stealing John Edwards’ ideas. Obama apparently has a secret plan to slip into third place. … Barack Obama announced he is flying back home to Chicago to have a have a hot 15th wedding anniversary date with his wife. Every candidate spends their anniversary differently- Rudy Giuliani spends his trying to remember which wife he’s married to, Hillary Clinton spends her wedding anniversary trying to track down Bill, and Fred Thompson spends his helping his young wife with her homework. … Recently, Hillary Clinton was asked what role her husband Bill would play if she becomes president. Hillary said Bill would be sent around the world as a roving ambassador. Gee, I wonder which one of them came up with that idea? … The U.S. military is now targeting al-Qa’ida’s Internet capabilities. Apparently, al-Qa’ida is trying to recruit new members on the Internet. They hook up on something called … Border agents have now been issued air guns that shoot pepper balls at people coming across the Mexican border. Have they thought this through? Is that going to bother people from Mexico? Pepper balls? Don’t these people eat jalapenos? Isn’t that like firing meatballs at an Italian guy?